Monday, March 16, 2015

Weibull’s Wobble……………………..

I once wrote a maintenance recommendation for a DOE project meant for short term (less than 1 year) equipment operational requirements. The equipment types are a moot point for this article but if you must know; there were pumps and fans and filters and air handlers and hydraulic lifts and lift tables and electrical power transformers and electrical distribution panels and compressors and vacuum pumps and switches and relays and chillers and VFD’s and PLC’s and pressure switches and diesels and pipes and valves and a partridge in a pear tree…………. Yep everything you would expect to see in any typical production environment, temporary or not.
The scope of the project was to remove sludge at the bottom of expended nuclear fuel storage pools; it was a nasty job to say the least. Nuclear fuel had been in the pools for over 30 years, the material used to hold the fuel rods together had corroded and some of the rods had broken apart. The remaining sludge was a mixture of basalt dust, corrosion products and nuclear material from the busted fuel rods. To say the least, it was a very toxic and erosive material.
You should know that the project was SAFELY completed. However, schedule slip was measured in years and cost overruns were in the millions. Now it wasn’t that the project was poorly planned or that the engineering concepts and controls used to remove the material safely were compromised, the biggest problem, the one that the taxpayers ended up paying for was program management’s assumption that they could complete all operations with zero equipment redundancy and zero maintenance. It was a temporary installation after all and all work could be completed before the first oil change was required; WOW!!! What an assumption. And as a Monday morning quarterback; it turned out to be a really bad assumption…………and we had told them so.
Back to that maintenance recommendation I had written so long ago. So prior to getting this project underway, the contractor that DOE hired to do the job hosted a small business workshop that advertised they were looking for new and innovative contributions from the small business community that could support the goals of the project; Safe removal and interim storage of the sludge. I attended that workshop and since I am a maintenance ‘guy’ that ran a maintenance and reliability management company, I wanted to contribute my recommendations, and of course I wanted to include a plug my company’s expertise in these matters; it was a great sales opportunity. Not only that, maintenance engineers, planners and procedure developers that were employed by me (my company) had been instrumental in completing the nuclear fuel removal; my company had hands on experience managing similar and some instances, the same equipment. We had a developed list of maintenance lessons learned that could be leveraged into a very comprehensive maintenance strategy at minimal cost with maximum gain. WOW!!! A perfect storm; maybe. 
I wish I had a copy of that recommendation now, it was actually quite good. What I do remember introducing to that client was a highlight of Preventive Maintenance (PM) and Condition Based Maintenance (CBM, PdM) using simplified Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM) tools, a FMEA plus our lessons learned, to establish the most economical methods in managing the short term operational schedule without equipment redundancy. Just a refresher here; a FMEA is a Failure Mode and Effects Analysis and based on the basic equipment types they had, it would be pretty easy complete, really just a cursory analysis and it would pay for itself. I based my case on the Random Nature of equipment failures and the Predicable Nature of consumable ‘end of life’ determination that are generically portrayed in the various Weibull distributions. So before the ink dried on my super-duper award winning expose on the magic of Managing Reliability, I set up a meeting with the client and charged off to impress upon them the importance of some form of routine maintenance, even on a project with short term operation goals.
The actual meeting went pretty smooth; the presentation was met with the usual chin stroking and polite nods of understanding as I hit each of the presentation points. In fact there were several comments from the project engineer, his deputy and the procurement representative that sounded quite positive; they were in, they understood. Then just as I wrapped up and had asked for any final questions, the project manager looks me square in the eye and said “the defined operational period (project scheduled) of the equipment is less than one year, based on our own internal risk assessment we have decided that no routine maintenance or inspection surveillances will be performed as a cost saving benefit to the project”. I was in awe, the project engineer buried his face on the table and as I left the meeting room, the procurement representative said thank you, great presentation. No Sale on the front end of this project. I was disappointed to say the least.
So let’s take a look at my recommendation(s) from a strictly probability of  failure (Pf) point of view and let you decide if some form of routine maintenance (PM, CBM, PdM) would be required.
And the story goes……………..
As part of the presentation, on a white board I threw up the 6 basic Weibull representations of equipment reliability. These were originally presented by Nolan in Heap in their study of commercial aircraft reliability in 1978. These basic reliability profiles were again verified as accurate by the US Navy in 1984(?). The only difference between the Navy and the commercial aircraft study was the percent occurrences. So what are the 6 curves and what do they represent?
We are generally most familiar with the ‘Bathtub Curve’, Pattern1. This is a generalized Weibull representation of a piece of equipment from commissioning through its operational phase to its end of life. The ‘Ski Slope’ on the front of the curve represents a higher Pf based on some run in period and then flattens out to a random Pf over the majority of the equipment’s life. And at or near the end of the equipment’s useful life the Pf creeps up again. What you need to understand that this curve is only representative of approximately 3 to 4% of failure profiles.   
Pattern 2, 4, 5 and 6 are similar variations of Pattern 1. What should be noted in these patterns, like Pattern 1, is that the Pf ‘flat lines’ over a majority of equipment life, e.g. Random Failure. In fact, Random Failures account for 80 to 85% of all failures. WOW!!! One other thing that should be noted about Pattern 6; this is the predominant failure pattern for equipment. It is representative of 29 to 60% of all failure profiles. Also note that this profile has a ‘Ski Slop’ on the front end just like Pattern 1; the Pf is higher early in equipment life, the ‘run in’ period. We will discuss this later because ‘run in’ isn’t the real issue here. It’s actually Introduction of Error. Say What????

Now Pattern 3 is a bit different, it is representative of consumable components. As time in service increases, Pf slopes up. Rolling element bearings, oil, drive belts, IGBT’s (power transistors) in VFD’s and SCR’s, filters, tires, gasket material in certain environments, UV exposed paints and coatings, etc… fall under this Weibull profile. If we look at an actual Weibull plot for bearings (to the right) it has a very predictable linier profile. I want to repeat myself here, Pattern 3’s focus is at the consumable component level and related to equipment only in the fact that if the component fails, it drags down the equipment with it.
Side Bar Comment: Remember the discussion in a previous article, Read the Fricking Instructions, the term Reductionism. And if you actually go back and review the definition I presented you will see I included the following statement; We Analyze for Failure and Evaluate Service Life at this level; the component level.
Since Pattern 6 is the predominant equipment failure pattern and Pattern 3 is representative of consumable components; it only makes sense that we manage our equipment based on these representations.
First and foremost; just based on the 6 variations of failure probability, failures are going to happen. If it rolls, slides, conducts electricity, is painted, uses oil, or goes bump in the night, if you are not thinking about failure prevention (mitigation) and failure detection, you will have setbacks. In this gamble, the odds are stacked in favor of the house. And if you have a process where there is no redundancy built into your design, it pretty much becomes mandatory that you develop a planned preventive (PM) and condition based (PdM) maintenance strategy. This is the only way you can ensure a reasonable level of reliability for your process.
Number 2; As I mentioned earlier, Pattern 1 and 6 have a ‘Ski Slope’ on the front end of the curve; an increased Pf. You generally hear that this increased Pf  is caused by ‘run in’, or maybe ‘burn in’ failures or maybe you’ve heard of it as ‘infant mortality’. The real reason; Introduction of Error. Whenever I manufacture, install and commission a piece of equipment, I increase the potential for the Introduction of Error. Whenever I disassemble a piece of equipment to perform a maintenance action, even something as simple as removing a guard or cover to gain access, I increase the potential for the Introduction of Error. During manufacture; I missed the occlusion in the casting, I missed the crack in the weld, I missed the flaw in the circuit board, I missed the material stratification in the transistor, getting the O-ring seated correctly…………… During installation; I mounted the components to an untested structure, grouting the base I left a hollow spot, the soil compaction was wrong for the installation, the space was not air conditioned, we did not re-align the coupling or the belts, the resilient mounts were installed incorrectly, power was wired to the common ground, we wired all of our single phase components to a single phase of the 3 phase distribution causing a voltage unbalance…………During commissioning; I ran the compressor for several minutes without oil, I ran the unit backwards for a while until I swapped leads, we operated the diesel for several minutes without cooling water…………..During Maintenance; I forgot to refill it with oil, I couldn’t get all of the bolts back in, the shaft was a little scared and the bearing fit was a bit loose, I couldn’t reach some of the fasteners to tighten them……….. Each and every one of these scenarios plays out as an Introduction of Error that increases the probability of failure during initial operation. And, initial operation could be measured in months and years, not just hours, adding to item 1 above, random failure.
What are your thoughts………….
So what do you think? Based solely on this discussion, should there have been a maintenance plan in place for the project, a maintenance strategy, some spare parts, maybe just a few simple PdM tasks? If you are or ever have been part of an operations or maintenance crew, I’m sure you would agree, the project manager’s assumption was flat wrong. Yes indeed, there should have been some defined routine maintenance process to support this project.
So did I profit from the several failures that plagued the project? Yes I did. After several pump failures my company had a full time engineer out there with one of my vibration meters providing more or less manual continuous monitoring. And based on what I remember, a good portion of those pump failures were due to equipment design and commissioning (or lack thereof) issues, e.g. Introduction of Error. To the U.S. taxpayer, I apologize that I could not make a stronger case.
My recommendation to you; include a maintenance plan, a strategy and budget for it. Failures are gonna’ happen.
Maintenance, what a Concept!!!!!
MMJennings

Sunday, December 28, 2014

Managing Your Bearing Investment……..

And for the 2014 International Maintenance Conference in Daytona this year, one of the headline topics is ‘Elimination of Bearing Failures’. I‘m just wondering; How can one eliminate failure of a component that is designed to fail? Yes folks I’m here to tell you; rolling element bearings are a consumable, they are designed with a specific fatigue life and one day they will fail. Now I do concede that you can manage bearing life, ensuring you can at least get the advertised fatigue life, e.g. a reasonable service life, but you will never, never eliminate that bearing failure. If you don’t believe me, I have some swamp land just outside of Miami that you might be interested in (LOL).
To start off, I’m going to ask you a serious question. Just how many rolling element bearings do you have in your facility? This is a question I ask all of my clients that are interested in managing bearing life. Do you know the number? More than 10, more than 1,000 more than 100,000? I bet there are more than you are willing to count and if you think about it, there is quite a financial investment associated with those bearings. And if it were my company, I’d want to manage that investment; I want the best return I could get.
Before we get too caught up in how to manage bearing life, manage our investment, we need to identify those things that cause bearing failures, those things that increase the probability of bearing failure, those things that shorten the fatigue life of a rolling element bearing. Let me share my personal list of common bearing issues.

Maintenance Concepts
Typical Causes of Bearing Failure
Bearing Failure Fatigue Related
Bearing Failure Cage Related
Lack of Lubrication
Overuse, Overfilling Lubrication
Contaminated Lubrication
Contaminated Lubrication
Low Viscosity Lubrication
High Lubrication Viscosity
INSTALLATION ERROR
INSTALLATION ERROR
High Operating Temperature
Cyclic Torsional Loads (Chain Drive,
Excessive Radial Load
Universal, Toothed Belt, etc…, Cardan, Chordal Loading))
Alignment

Balance

Bent Shaft

Shaft Diameter Tolerance

High Axial Load

Erratic Axial Load

Age

Electrical Discharge



These are the typical causes of bearing failure. This is my list and I organized in a descending order of probability. Do I have a set of statistics to back me up? No I don’t. But, I do have 30 years of anecdotal experience plus I have the best reference ever developed for making this (these) assumption; I have the internet. Just pull up Google and enter ‘bearing failure’; about 4,180,000 results pop up. WOW!!! Like we stated in an earlier article No Spectrum Analyzer, Oh My!!!…………., there is a tremendous knowledge base out there, if you’re not using it you are a fool. So spend a few evenings on the internet; check out the references, make your own list of common bearing issues.
So if you cannot eliminate bearing failures, what can you do? When I give training on this subject my answer(s) follow along this line;
·         Manage Lubrication
·         Manage Installation
·         Manage Load
·         Manage Shaft Condition
·         Manage Indication

You need to manage the things that are related to the cause of bearing failure. If you are just managing bearing failures, e.g. just replacing bearings as they fail and not managing the things that cause bearing failure, you are losing money, you are wasting resources. And as a last thought before we jump into more detailed discussion, since you know deep down that you will never eliminate bearing failures, you also need to manage some methodology, introduce some technology, some program that can identify indications that tell you a bearing is failing. That’s where this list comes from. This is the basis of Precision Maintenance. This is the basis of running our Maintenance Departments like a business. WOW!!! There’s a concept!!!!

So let’s get started.

Managing Lubrication……….
The number one, el numero uno, the primary cause of bearing failure in today’s industrial environment is lubrication. Yes, having a sufficient quantity and sufficient quality of oil or grease in the bearing is the most important thing you can do to keep bearings rolling and your equipment operational. And keeping that oil or grease free of contaminants is the second most important thing you can do. And by far the biggest contaminant we see today is………….water.
So now the question is; Do you have a Documented Lubrication Program at your facility? And if you do, is it effective? Almost every company has some sort of developed process for managing lubrication; maybe. If you don’t have a documented lubrication program or process, stop reading this article and go develop one. Where I have completed a gap analysis on maintenance practices at DOE and DOD facilities, international and domestic manufactures, power and water treatment utilities, what I have discovered is that even though they have a documented program, a developed process, it is not followed. I personally have seen everything from color coding, equipment specific SOP’s, general specifications, training, PM’s, outsourcing to chanting and praying as far as lubrication programs or policy. However, where the program(s) fail, there is no program monitoring; there is no audit for compliance. If you do not routinely challenge a program, it eventually will be forgotten. Remember my last rant, Read the Friking Instructions, if you do not routinely challenge a program, Aliteracy sets in. Your lubrication program controls quantity and quality of the product you pump into your bearings to keep them healthy. If you are not managing that program, you are not managing your finical assets.
Contamination, specifically water contamination is by far the most ignored issue out there. And the insidious part, it generally occurs at a level where it is impractical or uneconomical to sample. Water wash down, exposure to large temperature swings, humid and moist environments, are things that need to be addresses in your bearing lubrication management process. Seals, if you have oil leaks at your seals, you have moisture leaks into your bearings; if the seals can’t keep the oil in, I can pretty much guarantee they’re not keeping contaminants out.
Here’s a tidbit I picked up many years ago, I’m just not sure where. The assumption is you can achieve 100% of the advertised bearing life if you maintain less than 100 parts per million (PPM, .01%) water in your lubricant. At 200 PPM (.02%) your bearing life is reduced by 50% and at 400 PPM (.04%), bearing life is reduced to less than 25%.
Bottom line, when you manage lubrication, when you define your process, you need to include keeping water (and other contaminants) out.
Managing Installation……….
Installation of bearings is one of my favorite topics. If we are outside of a shop and completing a field installation, bearing replacement is very difficult to complete ‘per the book’, e.g. Read the Fricking Instructions. If you can get the equipment to a bench, to a shop, do it. If you can’t, bring the shop to the equipment. Bring What??????? Yep that’s correct, set up a portable bench, bring in a pallet with your tools, establish a boundary. A tent that establishes a defined work area works best. You also need to ensure the work is PLANNED, not in the scheduling sense, but in the technical scene. New gaskets, seals, nuts and bolts, shaft sleeves, the correct tools, etc… are available, is a planned evolution. It shows someone has Read the Fricking Instructions. In your temporary shop at the job site there had better be four documents; the Work Order with detailed Instructions, the equipment O&M manual and the bearing manufacturer’s installation instructions. Oh yes, you had also better include your lubrication program instructions.
Field bearing removal is a brutal process, it is very barbaric. I’ve seen old bearings fall off, pulled off, beat off, burned off, ground off and if I use enough four letter words, talked off. This is a very messy proposition. Grease, oil, chunks of metal, old seals, process media, liquid wrench, WD40, etc… is everywhere. And believe it or not, in our haste in getting the bearing off, this is generally where the first error(s) is introduced; the shaft is damaged. More on this under the heading Manage Shaft Condition. If we contain our mess to our make shift shop, it will be easier to clean prior to shifting to an installation mode. The area needs to be sanitary prior to starting the bearing installation process. One last item on removal; we want to salvage as much of the old bearing as practical. We need to analyze the failure. We need to be able to update our list of Typical Bearing Failures.
One of the most important steps in bearing installation is acquiring the correct tools. I cringe when I see a small frame pump rebuild and no bearing heater. I want to scream every time I see a hammer come out, brass rod or not. I want to pull what’s left of my hair out when I don’t see a set of micrometers, dial indicators, a magnifying glass, etc…. And vice grips, I just want break down and beet my head against the wall. Without the proper tools, your technicians are forced to improvise, to figured out how to just Get-R-Done. Because no one bothered to Read the Fricking Instructions or management was too cost conscious (read as cheap) to buy the correct tools, you are setting yourself up for installation errors. And where there’s a set-up, there is an occurrence. I had to tap the bearing in place with a hammer because I had no bearing heater. I had no hydraulic press. Oops, I slipped and smacked the cage, put a little dent in her, no one saw, it’s O.K.; maybe. The instruction said to use a spanner on the lock nut, I didn’t have one so I used a hammer and punch. Oops, the locknut wasn’t tight enough, and released the preload. Excessive axial play………it’s O.K.; maybe. Compared to the cost of ‘doing it over again’, tools are pretty inexpensive and the skills to use them are easy to acquire. Last note here about the installation instructions, I guarantee the Fricking Instructions for bearing installation won’t be in the equipment O&M, they’ll be in the bearing manufacturer’s documentation. The O&M will contain equipment assembly instructions but when it comes to installing the bearing, reference the bearing manufacturers documentation.
So basically, Managing Installation means the job is planned, a temporary shop area is established for field installations, gaskets and seals are staged at the job site, the installation area is clean, the correct tools are available, the technicians have the skill set to use the tools and the new bearings are installed in accordance with the bearing manufacturer and the equipment manufacture’s Fricking Instructions. We get a precision installation. And last but not least, we lubricate the newly installed bearing in accordance with our documented lubrication program.
Managing Load……….
Have you ever seen this equation; L10 = (C/P)3 ? Does everyone understand the concept that L10 represents? Just as a review; L10, L50, LXX…….. is the uncertainty of bearing fatigue life. Basically L represents a bearing’s fatigue life in revolutions, minutes, hours, years, etc… and the 10 represents the statistical point where 10% of a group of like bearings will fail prior to reaching that bearing’s designed fatigue life. Same with 50; it represents the statistical point where 50% of a group of like bearings………….. Anecdotally L10 means that if I buy 100 of the same bearings and install them error free and with adequate quantity and quality of lubricant, statistically 10 bearings will fail prior to reaching their designed fatigue life. So if L10 is a representation of acceptable bearing life (we are accepting the 10% failure rate) then what do C and P represent?
C and P are load values, units of pound-feet or newtons, units of force. C is the bearing manufacturers advertised dynamic load rating, their catalog value. P is the actual load on the bearing as installed. Let’s look at P a bit closer. This value is the summation of all forces applied to the bearing. So what is the make up those applied forces. As a maintenance guy my list includes;

Maintenance Concepts
Typical Forces Applied to Bearings (P)
Alignment Forces
Magnetic Forces
Balance Forces
Hydraulic Force
Gravitational Force (Weight)
Structural Force

Let’s look at our bearing life equation again; L10 = (C/P)3. For roller bearings, the calculation is L10 = (C/P)10/3.
As a maintenance guy, as the owner of a pre-designed and applied piece of equipment, I really don’t have any say in what bearing is installed so I do not have influence over the C factor, the catalog rating. However I have a tremendous influence over P, the applied force. So what happens to L10 if we reduce the total force applied to a given bearing, we lower the value of P? When I lower the value of P in our bearing life equation I am increasing, I am improving my L10. My bearings will last longer. The bearing still has a finite life, however my replacement frequency has decreased, the life cycle cost is reduced, profitability has improved, velvet robes will part, money will fall from the heavens and life will be good; lower P to increase L10. WOW!!! It really is that simple.
To Manage Load is to reduce the applied force (the P) on a bearing. How do I do this? I align my couplings; I balance my rotating elements; I ensure I have equal voltage applied across phases; I operate the equipment within its designed operating envelope, I make sure nuts and bolts are tight, I ensure resilient mounts are functional, I do everything I can to lower the value of P. I manage my equipment condition. I Manage Load.
Now all of this is well and good when we are talking fatigue life; balls and races. However, there is one component of the bearing that does not fit within this model. Can you guess what component that is? It is of course the bearing cage. Cage failures are a bit different in the fact that there is generally very little stress on the cage. Its job in Conrad-style bearing is just to hold the balls in position. Until that is, you don’t pay attention to lubrication (too much or too thick) or you don’t pay attention to ball velocity changes. And then there’s installation error; we have already covered that.
Lubrication first; Did you know that bearing shields, not seals, but shields, were added in the late 1950’s early 1960’s by Electrical Motor Manufacturers to prevent Over-Greasing motor bearings. It seems that ‘back in the day’, owners were so zealous in greasing motor bearings that the excess lubricant actually stressed the bearing cage causing the cage to yield. Balls roll out of position, jam between the races and cause early fatigue failure (a ball skid condition). So shields, not seals, were added. This prevented the grease’s soap, the thickener, from entering the bearing. Then how is the bearing lubricated? As the bearing and equipment heat up, oil is released from the soap and flows around the shields onto the balls and races. WOW!!! Oh yes, and shields are generally associated with grease lubrication, not oil lubrication. Oil lubrication has other idioms, e.g. do not overfill the sump. Back to the grease; there is still debate today as whether to consider shielded bearings a sealed, lubricated for life, bearing. I don’t buy it, I for one still add grease to shielded bearings, if there’s a zirk fitting and a purge path, it gets a shot of grease. I manage on the conservative side.
Ball Velocity Change; Roller chains, universal joints, toothed belts, are murder on bearing cages. The reason; these drives incorporate a velocity change to function. In Cardan drives (universal joints) and Chordal drives (roller chain and sprockets, toothed belts) this velocity change is basically a perpetual speeding up and slowing down of the balls and cage within the bearing. If the velocity change is high enough, the inertia of the balls can exceed the yield strength of the cage, allowing the cage to deform, causing the balls to roll out of position, causing the balls jam between the races thus causing early fatigue failure (a ball skid condition). For universal joints, the fix is to have a second universal at the other end of the shaft, mounted at the same but negative angle and 90° out of phase with the other universal. On chain drives, keeping the number of sprocket teeth high enough to dampen out the velocity change is the correct answer.
Again, you need to Manage Bearing Load. Only this time you need to focus on cage loading from the balls themselves.
 Managing Shaft Condition………….
Fact; every time I replace a bearing I degrade shaft condition. If I’m lucky enough to pull the bearing from the shaft with minimal effort, as a minimum, I’m pulling metal, damaging the bearing seating area. If I have to burn, grind, hammer or otherwise abuse the equipment to get the old bearing off, there is a very high probability that I am impacting the straightness and the metallurgy, e.g. the toughness of the shaft. Even if I just leave a small nick in the shaft, I have spot that can start crack propagation.
So what do you do? You go over the shaft with a fine tooth comb; we measure the shaft diametrically, we measure the shaft for straightness, we may check the hardness, we may want to MT or PT the shaft. Nicks and scratches are thoroughly inspected and documented. These are things you would define in a PLANNED Work Order.
Shaft dimension is by far the greatest concern when installing new bearings. Generally, if the shaft is rotating, bearings are an interference fit on the shaft, the bearing inner race I.D. is smaller than the shaft by a few thousandths of an inch, e.g. I need to expand the bearing to get it on the shaft. If the shaft diameter is too small, we get into fretting, bearing creep, etc…. if too large, the bearing will overheat due to the clearance reduction between the balls and races.
What about the housing fit on our rotating shaft piece of equipment? Well by golly, this would generally be a clearance fit, e.g. the bearing would slide into the housing with minimal effort. Too tight of a fit and the bearing could overheat due to the clearance reduction between the balls and races. Too loose of a fit and we get into fretting, spinning the race or inadequate rotor clearances.   
The reference that will list the shaft diameters, the shaft tolerances will be the equipment O&M manual or some other document provided by the equipment manufacturer; sometimes a shop manual, sometimes a drawing, sometimes a national or international standard (ISO 286). Sine you are not the designer of the equipment, stick with the equipment manufacturer, the OEM for shaft tolerance data. If I am installing Mounted Bearings (pillow block bearings) I need to reference the bearing manufacturer’s instructions. If you gain nothing else from this article, please at least take this to heart;
  • Manufactured Equipment Shaft Specifications (except Fans) use the Original Equipment Manufacturer’s (OEM) shaft tolerance data. Examples; pumps, motors, gearboxes, compressors, etc…
  • Mounted Bearing Shaft Specifications use the Bearing Manufacturer’s shaft tolerance data. Examples; fans, conveyors, hoists, etc…
Save yourself heartache here, this is free advice, an Added Value just by reading this article. The mantra for success in Managing Shaft condition; PLANNED work, clean and inspected shaft (no cracks, no deformities, no damage), the shaft is diametrically correct and straight, the shaft material and treatment is correct,  Read the Fricking Instructions for shaft condition and tolerance. Read the Fricking Instructions for bearing installation and equipment assembly.
Manage Indication………
Here we go again, talking about vibration. In a previous article we discussed High Frequency and Low Frequency vibration monitoring. So what do we use in this circumstance? If we want to measure true bearing condition we will use High Frequency Monitoring. High Frequency = Bearing Condition, High Frequency = Bearing Condition, High Frequency = Bearing Condition…………. Point taken.
The common technologies associated with High Frequency Monitoring are Shock Pulse and High Frequency Demodulation (enveloping). Both of these technologies are based on Pulse Theory, e.g. a pulse in the time domain gives us an infinite signal in the frequency domain.
And is there a use for Low Frequency Monitoring in this discussion? Yes there is, when we discuss Managing Load, because these are all of the typical things we monitor for using Low Frequency Monitoring. We use our 0 to 2000 Hz broadband (filter out) signal analysis to measure the P of our L10 C to P ratio. If things like alignment, balance, structure are managed, e.g. classical conditions we use vibration monitoring to identify, then simply verifying that we have a low overall Low Frequency vibration, tells me that I am managing my bearing loads, it’s my QC to ensure I did my job. Low Frequency = Equipment Condition (P), Low Frequency = Equipment Condition (P), Low Frequency = Equipment Condition (P)……………Point Taken.
And how often would I monitor for bearing condition? As a minimum, Monthly. And how often would I monitor equipment condition (P)? As a minimum, Semiannually. Why these periodicities? If I did my job and successfully manage my bearing load(s), my P, then there is no reason to perpetually monitor for equipment condition; e.g. weekly, daily, continuously. This practice is not cost effective; it's a wasted labor effort. However, since you are dealing with a consumable, where 1 out of 10 like components can randomly fail before their designed service life, we need to be more diligent, we need to monitor bearing condition more frequently; monthly is a good starting point and you can adjust from there.   
Conclusions………………
So there you have it, Manage the things related to the cause of bearing failure, Manage the indications of bearing failure and you will get the best return on your investment. Enough said, end of discussion.
So the next time you hear of a lecture, a symposium, on-line training that spews bearing failure can be eliminated, ask yourself; Am I in the market for swampland? You can’t eliminate the inevitable, a consumable’s end of life. However, you can manage its health and welfare throughout its life and get the best return, the best longevity, the best serviceable life on your investment.
Maintenance, what a Concept!!!!!
MMJennings

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Read the Fricking Instructions…………….

One of my pet peeves is that people have a tendency NOT to read the Instructions. I suppose everyone is an expert; maybe. I think more of this has to do with the overload of information we receive; have you ever heard of the term ‘Aliteracy’?

Aliteracy


Aliteracy is the phenomenon of people being able to read, but choosing not to. In the workplace, aliteracy combined with normal job pressures and distractions results in people who simply won’t read text-heavy instructions. Yet, industry continues to produce a flood of conventional text-heavy technical instructions to manufacture, sell, install and maintain products and services of every description. Instead of reading these cumbersome instructions, many users will guess or start a trial and error solution. The result is a costly loss of efficiency, accuracy, quality and productivity. Not to mention the introduction of error and resulting asset failures when management, operation and maintenance instructions are not followed.


I’m not really sure where or when I ran into this definition. However, it was from the internet and in the days of dial up modem, so the concept has been around for a while. The emboldened text is something I added. When you don’t read the Fricking Instructions, you have a 99.99% chance of introducing error during operation and maintenance of the facility assets; whenever you touch or you ‘interface’ with that asset. WOW!!!! 99.99%!!!!
Even myself, as much as I pontificate on this subject in my training courses, I sometimes find reading instructions a pain in the butt prior to starting the task at hand. And I have to continually remind myself to Read the Fricking Instructions. And why do I place so much emphasis on the instructions? It is the most economical method in preventing the introduction of error. It is the most economical method to ensure consistency of performance. Preventing introduction of error and managing consistency of performance are the best tools we have for managing the probability of asset failure (Pf). The three human performance evils that we try to overcome by reading the instructions: Errors of Knowledge….Errors of Performance….Errors of Intent. And how do we generally manage these? A new procedure is issued, required reading is established, self-study becomes mandatory – Read the Fricking Instructions becomes the mantra for success.
Now my Human Performance Improvement (HPI) consulting counterparts may argue that management is at fault for not providing training and not glad handing or kissing your ass to have you do a job you are paid to do, and do it error free. And to a certain degree they are correct. However, if you have any pride, any ambition, any loyalty to the man that gives you dollars for the work you perform, you will do the best job you can and do it error free. And that means self-study, that means self-qualification, that means Read the Fricking Instructions. To become technically competent at any task you need to study and study hard.
For example, below is a list of required documentation for equipment procured for a new construction project. This is an old, old Fluor Global Services document that was borrowed many moons ago but it is still relevant.

 VENDOR DATA REQUIREMENTS
 REQUISITIONING ENGINEER
REV.
DATE     
 ENGINEERS SIGNATURE

ITEM NO.:
 RFQ/PO  NUMBER:
ITEM:
 PROJECT NUMBER:
DOCUMENTS REQUIRED
REVIEW SUBMITTAL
CERTIFIED SUBMITTAL

QTY.
DATE DUE
QTY.
DATE DUE
       1. 
PRELIMINARY GENERAL ARRANGEMENT DRAWING/SKETCH
       2. 
DIMENSIONED OUTLINE DRAWINGS
       3. 
CROSS SECTIONAL DRAWINGS


       4. 
COMPLETED EQUIPMENT DATA SHEETS
1P
WQ
       5. 
COMPLETED MOTOR DATA SHEETS
1P
WQ
       6. 
PERFORMANCE CURVES
1P
WQ
       7. 
CATALOG INFORMATION, CUTS, ETC.
1P
WQ
       8. 
FOUNDATION DIAGRAMS AND LOADING REQUIREMENTS
       9. 
SCHEMATIC PIPING DRAWINGS
      10. 
SCHEMATIC WIRING DRAWINGS
      11. 
ASSEMBLY AND/OR SHOP DETAIL DRAWINGS
      12. 
COMPONENT AND/OR SHOP DETAIL DRAWINGS
      13. 
DETAILED PARTS LIST (BILL OF MATERIALS)
      14. 
RECOMMENDED SPARE PARTS (WITH OEM NUMBERS) FOR (1) YR OPERATION W/ FIRM PRICING
1P
3 WK ARD
      15. 
RECOMMENDED LONG LEAD SPARE PARTS/ASSEMBLIES (WITH OEM NUMBERS)
1P
(PREL) 3 WK ARO
1P
3 WK ARD
      16. 
RECOMMENDED START UP SPARE PARTS W/ FIRM PRICING
1P
3 WK ARD
      17. 
INSTALLATION, OPERATION, MAINTENANCE & LUBRICATION MANUALS (Documents Shipped With Equipment Are Information Only, Not Acceptable as Submittal)

1P, 1E

6 WK PTS
      18. 
MANUFACTURER'S TEST, INSPECTION & DATA REPORTS
      19. 
MILL TEST CERTIFICATES WITH HEAT NUMBER
      20. 
MONTHLY PROGRESS REPORTS W/ENGINEERING, PROCURE, FABRICATION & INSPECTION SCHEDULES

1P

2 WK ARO

1P

MONTHLY
      21. 
WELDING PROCEDURES
      22. 
PAINT SPECIFICATION DETAILS
      23. 
QUALITY SYSTEM QUESTIONAIRE
1P
WQ
      24. 
DETAILED QUALITY PLAN
1P
3 WK ARO
      25. 
DETAILED SHIPPING LIST
1P
(PREL) 3 WK ARO
1P
3 WK PTS
      26. 
WEIGHT LIST OF FABRICATED PARTS FOR ERECTION, UNIT SHIPPING WEIGHT, ERECTED WEIGHT
1P
3 WK PTS
      27. 
SHIPPING SCHEDULE AND PACKING LIST
1P
1 WK PTS
      28. 
EQUIPMENT CALCULATIONS AS NOTED
      29. 
U-1 FORMS AND NAMEPLATE FACSIMILE
      30. 
EQUIPMENT LIST/INDEX
1P, 1E
3 WK ARD
      31. 
INSTRUMENT LIST/INDEX
1P, 1E
3 WK ARD
      32. 
DRAWING LIST/INDEX
      33. 
SUBSTITUTE CODES, STANDARDS AND SPECIFICATIONS
      34. 
SUBVENDORS AND SUBCONTRACTORS NAMES AND QUALIFICATIONS
1P
WQ
34.
MATERIAL SAFETY DATA SHEETS
1P
WQ
1P
3 WK PTS
DOCUMENTS AS QUANTIFIED ABOVE SHALL BE FORWARDED TO:
                                   
FLUOR GLOBAL SERVICES
ATTN:  XXXXXXX
100 FLUOR DANIEL DRIVE
GREENVILLE, SC  29607
VOICE:
FAX:
E-Mail:
NOTES:
1.      ALL DRAWINGS MUST BE MARKED WITH COMPANY NAME, DRAWING TITLE, DRAWING NUMBER, REVISION, PURCHASE ORDER NUMBER AND EQUIPMENT ITEM NUMBER.
2.      SUBMITTALS OTHER THAN DRAWINGS MUST BE MARKED WITH PURCHASE ORDER NUMBER AND EQUIPMENT ITEM NUMBER.
3.      ALL HARD COPY SUBMITTALS  MUST BE MICROFILM & SCANNING QUALITY.

Once this equipment is installed and operational, this data, these documents are relevant in the ongoing management of the asset. This is your knowledge base for this specific piece of equipment. These are the Fricking Instructions, DON’T LOSE THEM. And now I have to ask; “do you know where yours are?” When I write my SOP’s, when I write my maintenance plans, when I troubleshoot, when I plan my outages, when I work on the fricking equipment, when I ……………….., I need to reference this knowledge base, I have to be familiar with the instructions to manage this asset throughout its life cycle. If you don’t have them, you’re guessing and you can’t afford to play the lottery here boys, you need the exacts, you need the Fricking Instructions.
And that’s not all you have to read, it’s a start but it still may not be enough. When we think Read the Fricking Instructions, we also need to think ‘Reductionism’.

Reductionism

Reductionism is the process of breaking complex systems down to their component level. We do this in an attempt to see how things work; assuming that a complex system is nothing more than the sum of its parts. Modern science and engineering protocols are largely influenced by this process. We Analyze for Failure and Evaluate Service Life at this level; the component level.


Reduction…………..what? Not only do I have to understand how an assembled asset functions, I need understand how the motor, the coupling, the bearings, the seals, the belts, the sheaves, the shafts, the motor starter, the VFD, the fuses, the pressure switch, the PLC and all of the other parts and components that make up an asset function as well. I also need to Read the Fricking Instructions for all of these components.
The big difference between instructions for the individual component as compare to the assembly, you may have to do some research to find the instructions. Today’s best source is the internet. You can virtually Google up just about anything. The Fricking Instructions are at our fingertips yet many individuals that need to review the instructions still don’t.  It doesn’t seem all that many years ago I had a rolodex with the names of many, many vendors who I would call routinely and have them fax (another technology that is fading rapidly) me instructions and for larger manuals, they would send you me the instructions ‘snail mail’. Yet with all of the advances in communicating vendor information (the internet), Aliteracy is still prevalent and errors are still introduced.
It’s a shame that many, many errors can be avoided by a simple corrective action. Maybe my Human Performance Improvement (HPI) consulting counterparts should focus on a company’s management behavior so they will include the TIME needed by their engineers, technicians and operators to Read the Fricking Instructions. You know the old saying, there is never time to do it right the first time yet there is always time to do it over. If you Read the Fricking Instructions, you wouldn’t have this issue.
One of my all-time favorite ‘Read the Fricking Instructions’ stories is;
It was a bright and sunny day…………………….at the Hanford nuclear reservation in Richland Washington, I had one of my best planners (my employee) supporting two client millwrights and an electrician in the 200 areas. They were replacing the belts and a belt tensioning idler pulley on a confinement ventilation system exhaust fans. This was a rework job, the client had replaced the belts and idler two weeks earlier and the idler suffered a bearing failure. The original idler and belt lasted just over two years. And yes, you heard me correctly; this is about a belt tensioning idler pulley. This is something (the idler) I had included during a system restoration that included replacing that exhaust fan. My company had managed that exhaust system restoration several years earlier and the idea behind the tensioning idler was to allow a faster belt replacement in a radiologically contaminated area, minimizing exposure, etc… Just think, installing belts on a medium size fan with no alignment or tensioning issues; loosen the idler, slip off old belts, slip on new, retension the idler and start the fan. A two hour job reduced to twenty minutes or less. It would take longer to hang the LOTO then to replace the belt; maybe. And our maintenance strategy was to replace the idler pulley every two years. The reason; the idler incorporated sealed bearings without a means to collect any kind of vibration or condition data, you couldn’t verify condition so you replace routinely.
And the story goes…………………..Just to make sure there would not be a repeat failure two weeks later, I had my expert, the job planner, out there with the client’s crew. All were dressed out in anti-contamination clothing working in a radiation area. Just after 13:00 I get a frantic call from my planner. They had installed the new belts and idler and started the fan. There was squealing, smoke, lightning, plague and locusts; all because the belt was riding up on the edge of the idler. The client’s millwrights and electrician would like me to come out and investigate since I was the originator of this little change several years back. I was 70 miles in another direction at another client’s facility when this call for help came in.
The day was quickly becoming dark and gloomy……………..So I jump in my truck and drove an hour and a half plus spent thirty minutes dressing out in anti-contamination clothing. I met my planner and the client’s crew at the fan. They show me the issue and my planner presents me with his work package for the job. I thumbed through the pages but can’t seem to find what I’m searching for. I ask my planner for the box the new idler came in, the planner and crew fetch the box from the contaminated waste bin (there’s another story here also, we’ll save that for later). I look inside the box and pull out; you guessed it, the instructions for installing the idler. There are spacers and preloads that are required to ensure reliable service. The millwrights and electrician were in awe, my planner was astonished. I remember handing the sheet to my planner and saying “Read the Fricking Instructions”. I was not a happy boss at that moment. I left my planner and the client’s crew to finish the task at hand. They finally did a good job but at what price; the US taxpayer gets to pay.
Several days later my planner says to me; “that was the smartest thing I had ever seen, pulling those instructions from the box, without saying a word. And I will always remember what you said; Read the Fricking Instructions”.
Ever since that moment, my personal lesson learned, my goal, my windmill, my great white whale; pass on and train everyone you meet, the concept of Read the Fricking Instructions.
Maintenance, what a Concept!!!!!
MMJennings